The record for this issue
The long end caught a break.
110 claims in the draft, each tested by a second agent against the page it cites. 102 held; 8 did not and were fixed or cut before this went out.
-
01
dekconfirmed
Oil backed off $112
The page says “Earlier in the morning, it got near $112 ... erased an early gain to fall 0.7% to $108.79”
-
02
dekconfirmed
Housing starts fell
The page says “housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,221,000 ... 5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)* below the revised August estimate”
-
03
dekconfirmed
30-year yield dropped six basis points to 5.42%
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”
-
04
dekconfirmed
2-year rose
The page says “2 Yr 4.77 (10/19) -> 4.79 (10/20)”
-
05
dekconfirmed
$13 billion 20-year auction today
The page says “19-Year 10-Month Bond, auction_date 2026-10-21, offering $13 billion, reopening Yes, original term 20-Year”
-
06
summaryconfirmed
Oct. 20 close: 30-year 5.42%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
-
07
summaryconfirmed
10-year 5.12%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
-
08
summaryconfirmed
2-year 4.79%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
- 09 confirmed
-
10
summaryconfirmed
Housing starts at a 1,221,000 rate
The page says “seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,221,000”
-
11
summaryconfirmed
Today: $13 billion 20-year reopening
The page says “auction_date 2026-10-21, $13 billion, reopening Yes”
-
12
summaryconfirmed
Today: EIA inventories
The page says “The standard release time and day of the week will be at 10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”
-
13
The storyconfirmed
Brent neared $112 on Tuesday morning
The page says “Earlier in the morning, it got near $112”
-
14
The storyconfirmed
Brent finished down 0.7% at $108.79
The page says “the price for a barrel of Brent crude erased an early gain to fall 0.7% to $108.79”
-
15
The storyconfirmed
Treasury quotes at 3:30 p.m. ET
The page says “obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day”
-
16
The storyconfirmed
30-year 5.42%, down six bp from Monday
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”
-
17
The storyconfirmed
10-year 5.12%, down three
The page says “10 Yr 5.15 -> 5.12”
-
18
The storyconfirmed
2-year up two bp to 4.79%
The page says “2 Yr 4.77 -> 4.79”
-
19
The storyconfirmed
5-year 4.94% both days
The page says “5 Yr 4.94 on 10/19 and 10/20”
-
20
The storyconfirmed
2s10s narrowed to 33 bp from 38
The page says “10/20: 5.12-4.79=0.33; 10/19: 5.15-4.77=0.38”
-
21
The storyconfirmed
Housing starts 1,221,000 annual rate in September
The page says “Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,221,000”
-
22
The storyconfirmed
5.2% below August's revised 1,288,000
The page says “5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)* below the revised August estimate of 1,288,000”
-
23
The storyconfirmed
7.4% below a year earlier
The page says “7.4 percent (±11.5 percent)* below the September 2025 rate of 1,319,000”
-
24
The storyconfirmed
Monthly change inside ±11.8% margin
The page says “5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)*”
-
25
The storyconfirmed
Permits slipped 0.2% to a 1,400,000 rate
The page says “building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,400,000. This is 0.2 percent below the revised August rate of 1,403,000”
-
26
The storyconfirmed
Pending home sales fell 7.3% from August
The page says “Pending home sales decreased by 7.3% month over month in September”
-
27
The storyconfirmed
Pending home sales fell 11.3% from a year earlier
The page says “decreased by 11.3% year over year”
-
28
The storyconfirmed
FOMC raised range a quarter point to 3.75%-4% on Sept. 16
The page says “The Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent (statement dated September 16, 2026)”
- 29 confirmed
-
30
The storyconfirmed
Inflation remains elevated
The page says “Inflation remains elevated”
-
31
The storyconfirmed
Move should bring inflation back to 2% sooner
The page says “Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal”
-
32
The storyconfirmed
September CPI published Oct. 14
The page says “8:30 a.m. (ET) Wednesday, October 14, 2026”
-
33
The storyconfirmed
All items up 3.7% over 12 months
The page says “The all items index rose 3.7 percent for the 12 months ending September”
-
34
The storyconfirmed
Energy up 20.4%
The page says “The energy index increased 20.4 percent for the 12 months ending September”
-
35
The storyconfirmed
Core up 2.6%
The page says “The all items less food and energy index rose 2.6 percent over the year”
- 36 confirmed
-
37
The storyconfirmed
Blackout since Oct. 17
The page says “The blackout period will begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting (second Saturday before Tue Oct. 27 = Sat Oct. 17)”
-
38
The storyconfirmed
1-month bill 4.10%
The page says “10/20/2026 1 Mo 4.10”
-
39
The storyconfirmed
2-year 4.79%
The page says “10/20/2026 2 Yr 4.79”
-
40
The storyconfirmed
Brent up 1.5% at $110.40 early Wednesday
The page says “early Wednesday, Brent jumped 1.5% to $110.40 per barrel”
-
41
The storyconfirmed
U.S. crude up 1.4% at $99.24
The page says “U.S. benchmark crude rose 1.4% early Wednesday, to $99.24 per barrel”
-
42
The storyconfirmed
AP reported at 2:54 a.m. ET
The page says “Updated Wed, October 21, 2026 at 6:54 AM UTC (= 2:54 a.m. EDT)”
-
43
The storyconfirmed
Month's range $97 to $112
The page says “Brent's price has been yo-yoing between $97 and $112 per barrel this month”
- 44 unsupported
-
45
The storyconfirmed
Oct. 18 Revolutionary Guard said two tankers caught fire after hitting mines in Hormuz
The page says “Published On 18 Oct 2026 ... Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has said two oil tankers [caught fire after hitting naval mines]”
-
46
The storyconfirmed
Iran requires ships to seek its authorisation before transiting
The page says “[Tehran] has since demanded that all ships seek its authorisation before transiting (page says 'demanded'; 'requires' is close)”
-
47
The storyconfirmed
Reported by Al Jazeera and AFP
The page says “By Al Jazeera Staff and AFP”
-
48
The storyconfirmed
Kospi rose 3.3% to 5,735.66
The page says “The Kospi in Seoul gained 3.3% to 5,735.66”
-
49
The storyconfirmed
Kospi fell 3.7% on Tuesday
The page says “South Korea's Kospi index fell 3.7% overall”
-
50
The storyconfirmed
AI company Elice fell 32% on first day of trading
The page says “a South Korean AI company, Elice ... Its stock dropped 32% in its first day of trading in Seoul”
-
51
The storyconfirmed
Nikkei 225 closed up 0.9% at 64,621.24
The page says “Tokyo's Nikkei 225 rose 0.9% to 64,621.24 (Nikkei Indexes: 64,075.42 on Oct 20 -> 64,621.24 on Oct 21)”
-
52
The storyconfirmed
Euro slipped to $1.1226 from $1.1239
The page says “The euro fell to $1.1226 from $1.1239”
-
53
The storyconfirmed
Treasury auctions $13bn 20-year reopening today
The page says “19-Year 10-Month Bond, auction 2026-10-21, $13 billion, reopening Yes”
- 54 confirmed
- 55 confirmed
-
56
The storyconfirmed
Thursday $26 billion 5-year notes
The page says “5-Year Note, auction_date 2026-10-22, offering $26 billion”
-
57
The storyconfirmed
20-year closed Tuesday at 5.47%, five bp above the 30-year
The page says “10/20/2026 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42”
-
58
The storyconfirmed
EIA weekly report at 10:30 a.m. ET
The page says “The standard release time and day of the week will be at 10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”
-
59
The storyconfirmed
30-year gained six bp on Tuesday (yield fell six)
The page says “30 Yr 5.48 -> 5.42”
-
60
The storyconfirmed
Tuesday Oct. 20 2-year 4.79%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
-
61
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 2-year 4.77%
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
62
The storyconfirmed
Tuesday Oct. 20 5-year 4.94%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
-
63
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 5-year 4.94%
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
64
The storyconfirmed
Tuesday Oct. 20 10-year 5.12%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
-
65
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 10-year 5.15%
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
66
The storyconfirmed
Tuesday Oct. 20 30-year 5.42%
The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”
-
67
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 30-year 5.48%
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
68
The storyconfirmed
Par yields at or near 3:30 p.m. ET
The page says “at or near 3:30 PM each trading day”
-
69
The storyconfirmed
Up two front, down six back, 5-year unmoved; 2s10s flattened five bp
The page says “2s10s 38 -> 33 bp”
-
70
The storyunsupported
Definition: an auction tails when it stops at a higher yield than the market expected going in
Checked for consistency within the issue itself
-
71
The story, step 1confirmed
Oct. 14 September CPI 3.7%, energy 20.4%
The page says “8:30 a.m. (ET) Wednesday, October 14, 2026 ... 3.7 percent ... energy index increased 20.4 percent”
-
72
The story, step 2confirmed
Oct. 17 blackout begins
The page says “begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting”
-
73
The story, step 3confirmed
Oct. 20 housing starts 1,221,000
The page says “FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 ... 1,221,000”
- 74 unsupported
-
75
The story, step 4confirmed
Oct. 21 $13bn 20-year reopening
The page says “auction_date 2026-10-21, $13 billion”
-
76
The story, step 4confirmed
Oct. 21 EIA weekly inventories
The page says “10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”
-
77
The story, step 5confirmed
Oct. 22 $26bn 5-year auction
The page says “5-Year Note, auction_date 2026-10-22, $26 billion”
- 78 confirmed
-
79
The storyconfirmed
Committee calls inflation elevated; meeting Oct. 27-28
The page says “Inflation remains elevated”
-
80
The storyconfirmed
Five bp of flattening in a day
The page says “2s10s 38 -> 33 bp”
-
81
The tape before the open, item 1confirmed
2-year 4.79%, +2 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”
-
82
The tape before the open, item 2confirmed
10-year 5.12%, -3 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”
-
83
The tape before the open, item 3confirmed
30-year 5.42%, -6 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”
-
84
The tape before the open, item 4confirmed
2s10s 33 bp, -5 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20
The page says “10/20: 5.12-4.79=33 bp; 10/19: 5.15-4.77=38 bp”
-
85
The tape before the open, item 5confirmed
EFFR 3.88%, unch., Oct. 19, published ~9 a.m. ET Oct. 20
The page says “2026-10-19: 3.88; 2026-10-16: 3.88 (FRED). New York Fed: rate published at 'approximately 9:00 a.m.' for the prior business day”
-
86
The tape before the open, item 6unsupported
EUR/USD ECB reference $1.1215, -0.0010, about 4 p.m. CET Oct. 20
-
87
The tape before the open, item 7confirmed
Brent $108.79, -0.7%, AP report 4:50 p.m. ET
The page says “October 20, 2026 at 4:50 pm EDT ... fall 0.7% to $108.79”
-
88
The tape before the open, item 8confirmed
Brent overnight $110.40, +1.5%, AP 2:54 a.m. ET
The page says “Updated Wed, October 21, 2026 at 6:54 AM UTC ... Brent jumped 1.5% to $110.40 per barrel”
-
89
The tape before the open, item 9confirmed
WTI overnight $99.24, +1.4%, AP 2:54 a.m. ET
The page says “U.S. benchmark crude rose 1.4% early Wednesday, to $99.24 per barrel”
-
90
The tape before the open, item 10unsupported
Nikkei 225 64,621.24, +0.9%, Oct. 21 Tokyo close 2:30 a.m. ET
-
91
The tape before the openconfirmed
New York Fed publishes each day's rate at about 9 a.m. ET the next business day
The page says “published at approximately 9:00 a.m. ... for the prior business day”
-
92
The morning in four, item 1confirmed
30-year fell 6 bp to 5.42%, 2-year rose 2 to 4.79% at 3:30 quotes
The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”
-
93
The morning in four, item 1confirmed
20-year closed at 5.47%, up for auction today
The page says “10/20/2026 20 Yr 5.47; Fiscal Data: 20-year reopening auctions 2026-10-21”
-
94
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
AP: AI enthusiasm gave way to concern high bond-market rates slow borrowing for chips
The page says “euphoria around the technology's boom gives way to worries that high interest rates in the bond market will slow the borrowing that's allowed companies to buy so many AI chips”
-
95
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
CoreWeave swung from a 6% loss to a 1.7% gain Tuesday
The page says “It initially fell more than 6% at the start of Tuesday's trading, only to swing to a gain of 5% before pulling back to a rise of 1.7%”
-
96
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
Starts 1,221,000, -5.2% inside ±11.8%; permits -0.2%
The page says “1,221,000 ... 5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)* ... permits 0.2 percent below”
-
97
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
Pending home sales -7.3%
The page says “decreased by 7.3% month over month in September”
- 98 unsupported
-
99
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
IRGC said Oct. 18 two tankers hit mines in Hormuz; Al Jazeera and AFP
The page says “Published On 18 Oct 2026 ... By Al Jazeera Staff and AFP”
-
100
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
Kospi rose 3.3% Wednesday after Tuesday's 3.7% drop
The page says “The Kospi in Seoul gained 3.3% (AP Oct 20: Kospi index fell 3.7% overall)”
-
101
What to watch, item 1confirmed
10:00 a.m. Usual Weekly Earnings Q3 2026, only BLS release of the day
The page says “Wednesday, October 21, 2026: Usual Weekly Earnings of Wage and Salary Workers (Third Quarter 2026), 10:00 AM (only release listed)”
- 102 unsupported
-
103
What to watch, item 2confirmed
10:30 a.m. EIA weekly petroleum status
The page says “10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”
-
104
What to watch, item 2confirmed
Brent back above $110 overnight
The page says “Brent jumped 1.5% to $110.40 per barrel”
- 105 unsupported
-
106
What to watch, item 3confirmed
$13bn 20-year, 19-year 10-month reopening announced Oct. 15, settles Fri Oct. 23
The page says “19-Year 10-Month, Bond, 2026-10-21, announced 2026-10-15, issue 2026-10-23, $13 billion, reopening Yes”
-
107
What to watch, item 3confirmed
Thursday $26bn 5-year notes
The page says “5-Year Note, 2026-10-22, $26 billion”
-
108
What to watch, item 4confirmed
Blackout Oct. 17 through Oct. 29
The page says “begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting and end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time the day after a meeting”
-
109
What to watch, item 4confirmed
No scheduled Fed speakers (blackout)
The page says “blackout period rule (Principle 7)”
- 110 confirmed