Morning Note · Markets No. 03 · Oct. 21, 2026 · Read the issue

The record for this issue

The long end caught a break.

110 claims in the draft, each tested by a second agent against the page it cites. 102 held; 8 did not and were fixed or cut before this went out.

102 confirmed 0 wrong, fixed or cut 8 unsupported, fixed or cut
  1. 01
    dek

    Oil backed off $112

    The page says “Earlier in the morning, it got near $112 ... erased an early gain to fall 0.7% to $108.79”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  2. 02
    dek

    Housing starts fell

    The page says “housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,221,000 ... 5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)* below the revised August estimate”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  3. 03
    dek

    30-year yield dropped six basis points to 5.42%

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  4. 04
    dek

    2-year rose

    The page says “2 Yr 4.77 (10/19) -> 4.79 (10/20)”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  5. 05
    dek

    $13 billion 20-year auction today

    The page says “19-Year 10-Month Bond, auction_date 2026-10-21, offering $13 billion, reopening Yes, original term 20-Year”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  6. 06
    summary

    Oct. 20 close: 30-year 5.42%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  7. 07
    summary

    10-year 5.12%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  8. 08
    summary

    2-year 4.79%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  9. 09
    summary

    Brent $108.79

    The page says “fall 0.7% to $108.79”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  10. 10
    summary

    Housing starts at a 1,221,000 rate

    The page says “seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,221,000”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  11. 11
    summary

    Today: $13 billion 20-year reopening

    The page says “auction_date 2026-10-21, $13 billion, reopening Yes”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  12. 12
    summary

    Today: EIA inventories

    The page says “The standard release time and day of the week will be at 10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”

    EIA, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  13. 13
    The story

    Brent neared $112 on Tuesday morning

    The page says “Earlier in the morning, it got near $112”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  14. 14
    The story

    Brent finished down 0.7% at $108.79

    The page says “the price for a barrel of Brent crude erased an early gain to fall 0.7% to $108.79”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  15. 15
    The story

    Treasury quotes at 3:30 p.m. ET

    The page says “obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  16. 16
    The story

    30-year 5.42%, down six bp from Monday

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  17. 17
    The story

    10-year 5.12%, down three

    The page says “10 Yr 5.15 -> 5.12”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  18. 18
    The story

    2-year up two bp to 4.79%

    The page says “2 Yr 4.77 -> 4.79”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  19. 19
    The story

    5-year 4.94% both days

    The page says “5 Yr 4.94 on 10/19 and 10/20”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  20. 20
    The story

    2s10s narrowed to 33 bp from 38

    The page says “10/20: 5.12-4.79=0.33; 10/19: 5.15-4.77=0.38”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  21. 21
    The story

    Housing starts 1,221,000 annual rate in September

    The page says “Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,221,000”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  22. 22
    The story

    5.2% below August's revised 1,288,000

    The page says “5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)* below the revised August estimate of 1,288,000”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  23. 23
    The story

    7.4% below a year earlier

    The page says “7.4 percent (±11.5 percent)* below the September 2025 rate of 1,319,000”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  24. 24
    The story

    Monthly change inside ±11.8% margin

    The page says “5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)*”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  25. 25
    The story

    Permits slipped 0.2% to a 1,400,000 rate

    The page says “building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,400,000. This is 0.2 percent below the revised August rate of 1,403,000”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  26. 26
    The story

    Pending home sales fell 7.3% from August

    The page says “Pending home sales decreased by 7.3% month over month in September”

    NAR, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  27. 27
    The story

    Pending home sales fell 11.3% from a year earlier

    The page says “decreased by 11.3% year over year”

    NAR, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  28. 28
    The story

    FOMC raised range a quarter point to 3.75%-4% on Sept. 16

    The page says “The Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent (statement dated September 16, 2026)”

    Federal Reserve, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  29. 29
    The story

    Vote 12-0

    The page says “12 – 0”

    Federal Reserve, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  30. 30
    The story

    Inflation remains elevated

    The page says “Inflation remains elevated”

    Federal Reserve, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  31. 31
    The story

    Move should bring inflation back to 2% sooner

    The page says “Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal”

    Federal Reserve, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  32. 32
    The story

    September CPI published Oct. 14

    The page says “8:30 a.m. (ET) Wednesday, October 14, 2026”

    BLS, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  33. 33
    The story

    All items up 3.7% over 12 months

    The page says “The all items index rose 3.7 percent for the 12 months ending September”

    BLS, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  34. 34
    The story

    Energy up 20.4%

    The page says “The energy index increased 20.4 percent for the 12 months ending September”

    BLS, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  35. 35
    The story

    Core up 2.6%

    The page says “The all items less food and energy index rose 2.6 percent over the year”

    BLS, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  36. 36
    The story

    Next meeting Oct. 27-28

    The page says “October 27-28”

    FOMC calendar

    confirmed
  37. 37
    The story

    Blackout since Oct. 17

    The page says “The blackout period will begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting (second Saturday before Tue Oct. 27 = Sat Oct. 17)”

    FOMC communications policy, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  38. 38
    The story

    1-month bill 4.10%

    The page says “10/20/2026 1 Mo 4.10”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  39. 39
    The story

    2-year 4.79%

    The page says “10/20/2026 2 Yr 4.79”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  40. 40
    The story

    Brent up 1.5% at $110.40 early Wednesday

    The page says “early Wednesday, Brent jumped 1.5% to $110.40 per barrel”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  41. 41
    The story

    U.S. crude up 1.4% at $99.24

    The page says “U.S. benchmark crude rose 1.4% early Wednesday, to $99.24 per barrel”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  42. 42
    The story

    AP reported at 2:54 a.m. ET

    The page says “Updated Wed, October 21, 2026 at 6:54 AM UTC (= 2:54 a.m. EDT)”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  43. 43
    The story

    Month's range $97 to $112

    The page says “Brent's price has been yo-yoing between $97 and $112 per barrel this month”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  44. 44
    The story

    The strait is the reason for the range

    AP Asia

    unsupported
  45. 45
    The story

    Oct. 18 Revolutionary Guard said two tankers caught fire after hitting mines in Hormuz

    The page says “Published On 18 Oct 2026 ... Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has said two oil tankers [caught fire after hitting naval mines]”

    Al Jazeera, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  46. 46
    The story

    Iran requires ships to seek its authorisation before transiting

    The page says “[Tehran] has since demanded that all ships seek its authorisation before transiting (page says 'demanded'; 'requires' is close)”

    Al Jazeera, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  47. 47
    The story

    Reported by Al Jazeera and AFP

    The page says “By Al Jazeera Staff and AFP”

    Al Jazeera, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  48. 48
    The story

    Kospi rose 3.3% to 5,735.66

    The page says “The Kospi in Seoul gained 3.3% to 5,735.66”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  49. 49
    The story

    Kospi fell 3.7% on Tuesday

    The page says “South Korea's Kospi index fell 3.7% overall”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  50. 50
    The story

    AI company Elice fell 32% on first day of trading

    The page says “a South Korean AI company, Elice ... Its stock dropped 32% in its first day of trading in Seoul”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  51. 51
    The story

    Nikkei 225 closed up 0.9% at 64,621.24

    The page says “Tokyo's Nikkei 225 rose 0.9% to 64,621.24 (Nikkei Indexes: 64,075.42 on Oct 20 -> 64,621.24 on Oct 21)”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  52. 52
    The story

    Euro slipped to $1.1226 from $1.1239

    The page says “The euro fell to $1.1226 from $1.1239”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  53. 53
    The story

    Treasury auctions $13bn 20-year reopening today

    The page says “19-Year 10-Month Bond, auction 2026-10-21, $13 billion, reopening Yes”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  54. 54
    The story

    Announced Oct. 15

    The page says “announcemt_date 2026-10-15”

    Treasury Fiscal Data

    confirmed
  55. 55
    The story

    Settles Friday, Oct. 23

    The page says “issue_date 2026-10-23”

    Treasury Fiscal Data

    confirmed
  56. 56
    The story

    Thursday $26 billion 5-year notes

    The page says “5-Year Note, auction_date 2026-10-22, offering $26 billion”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  57. 57
    The story

    20-year closed Tuesday at 5.47%, five bp above the 30-year

    The page says “10/20/2026 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  58. 58
    The story

    EIA weekly report at 10:30 a.m. ET

    The page says “The standard release time and day of the week will be at 10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”

    EIA, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  59. 59
    The story

    30-year gained six bp on Tuesday (yield fell six)

    The page says “30 Yr 5.48 -> 5.42”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  60. 60
    The story

    Tuesday Oct. 20 2-year 4.79%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  61. 61
    The story

    Monday Oct. 19 2-year 4.77%

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  62. 62
    The story

    Tuesday Oct. 20 5-year 4.94%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  63. 63
    The story

    Monday Oct. 19 5-year 4.94%

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  64. 64
    The story

    Tuesday Oct. 20 10-year 5.12%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  65. 65
    The story

    Monday Oct. 19 10-year 5.15%

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  66. 66
    The story

    Tuesday Oct. 20 30-year 5.42%

    The page says “10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day'”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  67. 67
    The story

    Monday Oct. 19 30-year 5.48%

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  68. 68
    The story

    Par yields at or near 3:30 p.m. ET

    The page says “at or near 3:30 PM each trading day”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  69. 69
    The story

    Up two front, down six back, 5-year unmoved; 2s10s flattened five bp

    The page says “2s10s 38 -> 33 bp”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  70. 70
    The story

    Definition: an auction tails when it stops at a higher yield than the market expected going in

    Checked for consistency within the issue itself

    unsupported
  71. 71
    The story, step 1

    Oct. 14 September CPI 3.7%, energy 20.4%

    The page says “8:30 a.m. (ET) Wednesday, October 14, 2026 ... 3.7 percent ... energy index increased 20.4 percent”

    BLS, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  72. 72
    The story, step 2

    Oct. 17 blackout begins

    The page says “begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting”

    FOMC communications policy, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  73. 73
    The story, step 3

    Oct. 20 housing starts 1,221,000

    The page says “FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 ... 1,221,000”

    Census Bureau, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  74. 74
    The story, step 3

    Oct. 20 pending home sales down 7.3% (released that day)

    NAR

    unsupported
  75. 75
    The story, step 4

    Oct. 21 $13bn 20-year reopening

    The page says “auction_date 2026-10-21, $13 billion”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  76. 76
    The story, step 4

    Oct. 21 EIA weekly inventories

    The page says “10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”

    EIA, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  77. 77
    The story, step 5

    Oct. 22 $26bn 5-year auction

    The page says “5-Year Note, auction_date 2026-10-22, $26 billion”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  78. 78
    The story, step 6

    Oct. 27-28 FOMC meeting

    The page says “October 27-28”

    FOMC calendar

    confirmed
  79. 79
    The story

    Committee calls inflation elevated; meeting Oct. 27-28

    The page says “Inflation remains elevated”

    Federal Reserve, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  80. 80
    The story

    Five bp of flattening in a day

    The page says “2s10s 38 -> 33 bp”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  81. 81
    The tape before the open, item 1

    2-year 4.79%, +2 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  82. 82
    The tape before the open, item 2

    10-year 5.12%, -3 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  83. 83
    The tape before the open, item 3

    30-year 5.42%, -6 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  84. 84
    The tape before the open, item 4

    2s10s 33 bp, -5 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 20

    The page says “10/20: 5.12-4.79=33 bp; 10/19: 5.15-4.77=38 bp”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  85. 85
    The tape before the open, item 5

    EFFR 3.88%, unch., Oct. 19, published ~9 a.m. ET Oct. 20

    The page says “2026-10-19: 3.88; 2026-10-16: 3.88 (FRED). New York Fed: rate published at 'approximately 9:00 a.m.' for the prior business day”

    FRED, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  86. 86
    The tape before the open, item 6

    EUR/USD ECB reference $1.1215, -0.0010, about 4 p.m. CET Oct. 20

    ECB

    unsupported
  87. 87
    The tape before the open, item 7

    Brent $108.79, -0.7%, AP report 4:50 p.m. ET

    The page says “October 20, 2026 at 4:50 pm EDT ... fall 0.7% to $108.79”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  88. 88
    The tape before the open, item 8

    Brent overnight $110.40, +1.5%, AP 2:54 a.m. ET

    The page says “Updated Wed, October 21, 2026 at 6:54 AM UTC ... Brent jumped 1.5% to $110.40 per barrel”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  89. 89
    The tape before the open, item 9

    WTI overnight $99.24, +1.4%, AP 2:54 a.m. ET

    The page says “U.S. benchmark crude rose 1.4% early Wednesday, to $99.24 per barrel”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  90. 90
    The tape before the open, item 10

    Nikkei 225 64,621.24, +0.9%, Oct. 21 Tokyo close 2:30 a.m. ET

    Nikkei Indexes

    unsupported
  91. 91
    The tape before the open

    New York Fed publishes each day's rate at about 9 a.m. ET the next business day

    The page says “published at approximately 9:00 a.m. ... for the prior business day”

    New York Fed, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  92. 92
    The morning in four, item 1

    30-year fell 6 bp to 5.42%, 2-year rose 2 to 4.79% at 3:30 quotes

    The page says “10/19/2026: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48 | 10/20/2026: 1 Mo 4.10, 2 Yr 4.79, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.12, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.42; par yields 'obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at…”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  93. 93
    The morning in four, item 1

    20-year closed at 5.47%, up for auction today

    The page says “10/20/2026 20 Yr 5.47; Fiscal Data: 20-year reopening auctions 2026-10-21”

    U.S. Treasury, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  94. 94
    The morning in four, item 2

    AP: AI enthusiasm gave way to concern high bond-market rates slow borrowing for chips

    The page says “euphoria around the technology's boom gives way to worries that high interest rates in the bond market will slow the borrowing that's allowed companies to buy so many AI chips”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  95. 95
    The morning in four, item 2

    CoreWeave swung from a 6% loss to a 1.7% gain Tuesday

    The page says “It initially fell more than 6% at the start of Tuesday's trading, only to swing to a gain of 5% before pulling back to a rise of 1.7%”

    AP, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  96. 96
    The morning in four, item 3

    Starts 1,221,000, -5.2% inside ±11.8%; permits -0.2%

    The page says “1,221,000 ... 5.2 percent (±11.8 percent)* ... permits 0.2 percent below”

    Census Bureau

    confirmed
  97. 97
    The morning in four, item 3

    Pending home sales -7.3%

    The page says “decreased by 7.3% month over month in September”

    NAR, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  98. 98
    The morning in four, item 3

    Census Bureau and NAR said Tuesday (NAR release date)

    NAR

    unsupported
  99. 99
    The morning in four, item 4

    IRGC said Oct. 18 two tankers hit mines in Hormuz; Al Jazeera and AFP

    The page says “Published On 18 Oct 2026 ... By Al Jazeera Staff and AFP”

    Al Jazeera, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  100. 100
    The morning in four, item 4

    Kospi rose 3.3% Wednesday after Tuesday's 3.7% drop

    The page says “The Kospi in Seoul gained 3.3% (AP Oct 20: Kospi index fell 3.7% overall)”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  101. 101
    What to watch, item 1

    10:00 a.m. Usual Weekly Earnings Q3 2026, only BLS release of the day

    The page says “Wednesday, October 21, 2026: Usual Weekly Earnings of Wage and Salary Workers (Third Quarter 2026), 10:00 AM (only release listed)”

    BLS schedule, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  102. 102
    What to watch, item 1

    BLS publishes 'median' usual weekly earnings

    BLS schedule

    unsupported
  103. 103
    What to watch, item 2

    10:30 a.m. EIA weekly petroleum status

    The page says “10:30 a.m. eastern time on Wednesday”

    EIA, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  104. 104
    What to watch, item 2

    Brent back above $110 overnight

    The page says “Brent jumped 1.5% to $110.40 per barrel”

    AP Asia, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  105. 105
    What to watch, item 3

    20-year auction in the 'Afternoon'

    Treasury Fiscal Data

    unsupported
  106. 106
    What to watch, item 3

    $13bn 20-year, 19-year 10-month reopening announced Oct. 15, settles Fri Oct. 23

    The page says “19-Year 10-Month, Bond, 2026-10-21, announced 2026-10-15, issue 2026-10-23, $13 billion, reopening Yes”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  107. 107
    What to watch, item 3

    Thursday $26bn 5-year notes

    The page says “5-Year Note, 2026-10-22, $26 billion”

    Treasury Fiscal Data, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  108. 108
    What to watch, item 4

    Blackout Oct. 17 through Oct. 29

    The page says “begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting and end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time the day after a meeting”

    FOMC communications policy, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  109. 109
    What to watch, item 4

    No scheduled Fed speakers (blackout)

    The page says “blackout period rule (Principle 7)”

    FOMC communications policy, at the passage · whole page

    confirmed
  110. 110
    What to watch, item 4

    Meeting Oct. 27-28

    The page says “October 27-28”

    FOMC calendar

    confirmed

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