The record for this issue
Ten-year back under 5%.
84 claims in the draft, each tested by a second agent against the page it cites. 82 held; 2 did not and were fixed or cut before this went out.
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01
titleconfirmed
Ten-year back under 5%
The page says “10/22/2026 10 Yr 4.96”
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02
dekconfirmed
AI-stock selloff Thursday sent money into Treasuries
The page says “as equities sold off after concerns about the sustainability of the AI outlook reignited ... boosting the safe-haven appeal of government debt”
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03
dekconfirmed
10-year closed at 4.96%, down 17 bp
The page says “10/21/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.25, 2 Yr 4.81, 5 Yr 4.95, 10 Yr 5.13, 30 Yr 5.42; 10/22/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.22, 2 Yr 4.65, 3 Yr 4.72, 5 Yr 4.78, 7 Yr 4.86, 10 Yr 4.96, 30 Yr 5.29”
-
04
dekconfirmed
on pace for biggest one-day drop since March 2023 by Reuters' count
The page says “biggest daily drop since March 10, 2023”
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05
dekconfirmed
Brent rose about 4% on attacks in Saudi Arabia
The page says “Brent for December settlement climbed 4% to settle at $113.17 a barrel ... A drone strike on Saudi Aramco's Shaybah field killed two people”
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06
summaryconfirmed
10-year closed Thursday at 4.96%, down 17 bp
The page says “10/22/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.22, 2 Yr 4.65, 3 Yr 4.72, 5 Yr 4.78, 7 Yr 4.86, 10 Yr 4.96, 30 Yr 5.29 vs 10 Yr 5.13 on 10/21”
-
07
summaryconfirmed
AI stocks sold off after Meta's results
The page says “equities sold off after concerns about the sustainability of the AI outlook reignited ... The Nasdaq slumped more than 2% as Meta shares lost nearly 8%”
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08
summaryconfirmed
Brent settled at $113.17
The page says “settle at $113.17 a barrel”
- 09 confirmed
-
10
The storyconfirmed
10-year closed Thursday 4.96% from 5.13% Wednesday
The page says “10/21/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.25, 2 Yr 4.81, 5 Yr 4.95, 10 Yr 5.13, 30 Yr 5.42; 10/22/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.22, 2 Yr 4.65, 3 Yr 4.72, 5 Yr 4.78, 7 Yr 4.86, 10 Yr 4.96, 30 Yr 5.29”
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11
The storyconfirmed
Treasury par curve quotes at 3:30 p.m.
The page says “obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at or near 3:30 PM each trading day”
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12
The storyconfirmed
2-year fell to 4.65% from 4.81%
The page says “2 Yr 4.81 (10/21) -> 4.65 (10/22)”
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13
The storyconfirmed
30-year fell to 5.29% from 5.42%
The page says “30 Yr 5.42 (10/21) -> 5.29 (10/22)”
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14
The storyconfirmed
Reuters: 10-year on track for largest one-day decline since March 10, 2023
The page says “biggest daily drop since March 10, 2023”
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15
The storyconfirmed
10-year closed at 5.31% on Oct. 5, high of the month on Treasury curve
The page says “10/05/2026 10 Yr 5.31; no October row through 10/22 is higher (next highest 5.28 on 10/02 and 10/07)”
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16
The storyconfirmed
Reuters: yield rose to 5.3645% on Oct. 7, highest since April 2002
The page says “The yield had risen to 5.3645% on October 7, its highest since April 2002”
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17
The storyconfirmed
Meta Q3 report released Wednesday
The page says “Release date: October 21, 2026 (Wednesday)”
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18
The storyconfirmed
Q3 capex $34.91 billion
The page says “Capital expenditures, including principal payments on finance leases, were $34.91 billion”
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19
The storyconfirmed
full-year range narrowed to $135-145 billion
The page says “to be in the range of $135-145 billion, narrowed from our prior outlook of $130-145 billion”
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20
The storyconfirmed
free cash flow negative $2.12 billion
The page says “free cash flow was negative $2.12 billion”
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21
The storyconfirmed
publicly listed, non-voting Class C stock, effective January 2027
The page says “publicly listed, non-voting Class C common stock, with an effective date in January 2027”
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22
The storyconfirmed
quote: "will provide Meta the ability to finance its growth" (10 words, attributed to release)
The page says “The Special Committee determined this new class of common stock will provide Meta the ability to finance its growth”
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23
The storyconfirmed
Meta shares fell 6.98% Thursday
The page says “648.85 -48.67 (-6.98%) At close: October 22 at 4:00:01 PM EDT”
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24
The storyconfirmed
Nasdaq Composite lost 2.6%
The page says “tumbled 2.6% (entry Oct 22, 8:03 PM UTC)”
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25
The storyconfirmed
S&P 500 fell 1.2%
The page says “dropped 1.2% (entry Oct 22, 8:03 PM UTC)”
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26
The storyconfirmed
Brent for December settled $113.17, up about 4%
The page says “Brent for December settlement climbed 4% to settle at $113.17 a barrel”
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27
The storyconfirmed
WTI settled $99.47, up 2.4%
The page says “WTI for December delivery advanced 2.4% to settle at $99.47 a barrel in New York”
-
28
The storyconfirmed
drone strike on Aramco's Shaybah field killed two people
The page says “A drone strike on Saudi Aramco's Shaybah field killed two people but left operations unaffected”
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29
The storyconfirmed
attack hit King Fahd International Airport in Dammam
The page says “there were casualties from an attack on the King Fahd International Airport in Dammam”
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30
The storyconfirmed
Bloomberg reported operations were unaffected
The page says “left operations unaffected (refers to Shaybah field)”
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31
The storyconfirmed
Reuters reported Aramco ordered evacuation of Dhahran HQ
The page says “Saudi Aramco on Thursday ordered the evacuation of its headquarters in Dhahran on the Gulf near Bahrain”
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32
The storyconfirmed
target range 3.75%-4.00% since Sept. 17
The page says “2026 September 17 | 25 | 0 | 3.75-4.00 (most recent row)”
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33
The storyconfirmed
effective rate printed 3.88% Thursday
The page says “effectiveDate 2026-10-22, percentRate 3.88”
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34
The storyconfirmed
2-year at 4.65% sits above top of range (4.00%)
The page says “10/22 2 Yr 4.65 vs targetRateTo 4.00”
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35
The storyconfirmed
FedWatch odds of >=25bp hike at Oct 27-28 meeting 7.2%, from 27.7% week before, 55.4% month before
The page says “The probability of a hike of at least 25 bps has shrunk to 7.2%, according to CME FedWatch ... from 27.7% a week ago and 55.4% a month earlier”
- 36 confirmed
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37
The storyconfirmed
blackout until the day after the meeting
The page says “end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time the day after a meeting”
Federal Reserve (blackout rule), at the passage · whole page
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38
The storyconfirmed
initial claims fell 6,000 to 194,000, week ended Oct. 17
The page says “In the week ending October 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 194,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level”
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39
The storyconfirmed
four-week average 197,750
The page says “The 4-week moving average was 197,750”
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40
The storyconfirmed
Treasury sold $26 billion of 5-year TIPS
The page says “auction_date 2026-10-22, security_type Note, security_term 5-Year, inflation_index_security Yes, offering_amt 26000000000”
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41
The storyconfirmed
at 1 p.m.
The page says “closing_time_comp 01:00 PM”
-
42
The storyconfirmed
BMO analysts saw result as solid (per Reuters)
The page says “was seen as solid by analysts at BMO Capital Markets”
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43
The storyconfirmed
non-dealer bidders 94.5% vs 90.8% average of previous six
The page says “non-dealer bidding of 94.5% above the 90.8% average for the past six auctions”
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44
The storyconfirmed
5-year fell 17 bp to 4.78% from 4.95%
The page says “5 Yr 4.95 (10/21) -> 4.78 (10/22)”
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45
The storyconfirmed
3-month bill 4.22% from 4.25%
The page says “3 Mo 4.25 (10/21) -> 4.22 (10/22)”
- 46 unsupported
-
47
The storyconfirmed
2s10s 31 bp from 32 Wednesday
The page says “10/22: 4.96-4.65=0.31; 10/21: 5.13-4.81=0.32”
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48
The storyconfirmed
move ran from the 2-year out to the 10-year
The page says “10/21->10/22: 2Y -16, 3Y -17, 5Y -17, 7Y -17, 10Y -17”
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49
The storyconfirmed
Treasury par yields at 3:30 p.m. ET, Oct. 21 and Oct. 22
The page says “at or near 3:30 PM each trading day; rows 10/21 and 10/22”
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50
The storyconfirmed
Oct. 21: 4.25, 4.81, 4.95, 5.13, 5.42
The page says “10/21/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.25, 2 Yr 4.81, 5 Yr 4.95, 10 Yr 5.13, 30 Yr 5.42”
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51
The storyconfirmed
Oct. 22: 4.22, 4.65, 4.78, 4.96, 5.29
The page says “10/22/2026 row: 3 Mo 4.22, 2 Yr 4.65, 3 Yr 4.72, 5 Yr 4.78, 7 Yr 4.86, 10 Yr 4.96, 30 Yr 5.29”
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52
The storyconfirmed
bill barely moved; 2-year through 10-year fell 16-17 bp
The page says “3M -3; 2Y -16; 5Y -17; 10Y -17”
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53
The storyconfirmed
money left stocks and landed in Treasuries Thursday; yield fell as price rose
The page says “as equities sold off ... boosting the safe-haven appeal of government debt”
-
54
The tape before the open, item 1confirmed
3-month bill 4.22%, -3 bp, 3:30 p.m. Oct. 22
The page says “3 Mo 4.25 -> 4.22”
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55
The tape before the open, item 2confirmed
2-year 4.65%, -16 bp, 3:30 p.m. Oct. 22
The page says “2 Yr 4.81 -> 4.65”
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56
The tape before the open, item 3confirmed
10-year 4.96%, -17 bp, 3:30 p.m. Oct. 22
The page says “10 Yr 5.13 -> 4.96”
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57
The tape before the open, item 4confirmed
30-year 5.29%, -13 bp, 3:30 p.m. Oct. 22
The page says “30 Yr 5.42 -> 5.29”
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58
The tape before the open, item 5confirmed
2s10s 31 bp, -1 bp
The page says “31 bp on 10/22 vs 32 bp on 10/21 (computed from page rows)”
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59
The tape before the open, item 6confirmed
Fed funds effective 3.88%, 0 bp, Oct. 22
The page says “2026-10-22 percentRate 3.88; 2026-10-21 percentRate 3.88”
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60
The tape before the open, item 7confirmed
EUR/USD (ECB) 1.1205, -0.0029, Oct. 22
The page says “21 October: 1.1234; 22 October: 1.1205”
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61
The tape before the open, item 8confirmed
Brent Dec. $113.17, +4%, settlement Oct. 22
The page says “Brent for December settlement climbed 4% to settle at $113.17 a barrel (Oct 22, 3:55 PM)”
-
62
The tape before the open, item 9confirmed
WTI Dec. $99.47, +2.4%, settlement Oct. 22
The page says “WTI for December delivery advanced 2.4% to settle at $99.47”
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63
The tape before the open, item 10confirmed
Nikkei 225 62,693.16, -0.34%, Tokyo close Oct. 23
The page says “2026-10-22: 62,907.84; 2026-10-23: 62,693.16 (-0.341%)”
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64
The morning in four, item 1confirmed
2-year through 10-year fell 16-17 bp; 30-year fell 13; 3-month moved 3
The page says “2Y -16, 3Y/5Y/7Y/10Y -17, 30Y -13, 3M -3”
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65
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
Meta free cash flow negative $2.12 billion
The page says “free cash flow was negative $2.12 billion”
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66
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
Meta long-term debt $80.92 billion
The page says “long-term debt $80,922 million as of September 30, 2026”
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67
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
new non-voting share class to finance growth
The page says “non-voting Class C common stock ... will provide Meta the ability to finance its growth”
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68
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
claims fell 6,000 to 194,000, week ended Oct. 17
The page says “advance figure ... was 194,000, a decrease of 6,000”
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69
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
insured unemployment rose 25,000 to 1,728,000, week ended Oct. 10
The page says “during the week ending October 10 was 1,728,000, an increase of 25,000 from the previous week's revised level”
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70
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
Brent up 58 cents to $113.75 at 12:39 a.m. ET (Reuters)
The page says “Brent crude futures climbed 58 cents, or 0.5%, to $113.75 a barrel as of 0439 GMT (= 12:39 a.m. EDT)”
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71
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
WTI up 66 cents to $100.13
The page says “US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 66 cents, or 0.7%, to $100.13”
- 72 unsupported
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73
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
ECB euro reference rate $1.1205
The page says “22 October: 1.1205”
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74
What to watch, item 1confirmed
S&P Global flash PMIs 9:45 a.m. Friday Oct. 23
The page says “Oct 23 9:45 S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI Oct”
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75
What to watch, item 1confirmed
September readings 55.9, 58.8, 58.4
The page says “Manufacturing prior 55.9; Services prior 58.8; Composite prior 58.4”
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76
What to watch, item 1confirmed
the one scheduled U.S. print of the day
The page says “Only U.S. entries for Oct 23 are the three S&P Global PMIs”
-
77
What to watch, item 2confirmed
no BLS release scheduled Friday
The page says “No releases are listed for ... Friday, October 23”
-
78
What to watch, item 2confirmed
no Census release scheduled Friday
The page says “no releases on October 23 in the list view”
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79
What to watch, item 2confirmed
durable goods and new home sales Tuesday Oct. 27
The page says “October 27, 2026, 8:30 AM: Advance Report on Durable Goods; October 27, 2026, 10:00 AM: New Residential Sales”
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80
What to watch, item 3confirmed
$13 billion 20-year (19-year 10-month reopening) auctioned Wednesday settles Friday
The page says “auction_date 2026-10-21, issue_date 2026-10-23, Bond, 19-Year 10-Month, original 20-Year, reopening Yes, offering_amt 13000000000”
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81
What to watch, item 3confirmed
auction data lists no sale for Friday
The page says “no record with auction_date 2026-10-23”
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82
What to watch, item 3confirmed
$26 billion 5-year TIPS sold Thursday settles Oct. 30
The page says “auction_date 2026-10-22, issue_date 2026-10-30, inflation_index_security Yes, offering_amt 26000000000”
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83
What to watch, item 4confirmed
blackout keeps participants off policy talk until day after Oct 27-28 meeting
The page says “end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time the day after a meeting”
Federal Reserve (blackout rule), at the passage · whole page
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84
What to watch, item 4confirmed
blackout began Oct. 17
The page says “begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting (meeting Tue Oct 27 -> Sat Oct 17)”
Federal Reserve (blackout rule), at the passage · whole page
The checker's notes
- Post-deadline check: no fact in the draft depends on information after 4:30 AM ET Oct. 23. The cited Treasury page now also shows a 10/23 row (10Y 5.00) and the ECB page a 23 Oct rate (1.1193); the draft uses neither.
- Nikkei row: the value (Tokyo close 3:30 p.m. JST = 2:30 a.m. ET Oct. 23) predates the deadline, but the cited FRED page shows 'Updated: Oct 23, 2026 7:02 AM CDT', so that page could not have shown it at 4:30 AM ET. Value confirmed; consider a source that published it before the deadline.
- Reuters' own measure of the 10-year move was 'fell 19.3 basis points to 4.953%'; the draft's 17 bp/4.96% is Treasury's par curve and is attributed as such. Reuters also says Meta 'lost nearly 8%' (likely intraday) vs Yahoo's 6.98% close; the draft uses the close.
- No political opinion found. No conduct issue found: analysis is labelled as 'this issue's reading' and outlooks are impersonal and conditional. No quote over 14 words. Background dates (March 2023, April 2002) are inside Reuters attribution.