The record for this issue
Yields rise on both sides of the ocean.
110 claims in the draft, each tested by a second agent against the page it cites. 109 held; 1 did not and were fixed or cut before this went out.
-
01
dekconfirmed
10-year closed at 5.15% by Treasury's 3:30 p.m. read, six bp above Friday
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48; 10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
02
dekconfirmed
AI stocks bounced; most of the market did not
The page says “AI and tech stocks bounced back ... Most non-tech stocks fell, and the Dow slipped 0.1%”
-
03
dekconfirmed
Violent weekend in France pushed French yields up Monday
The page says “French 10-year yield rose five basis points to 4.84% after protests turned violent”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
04
summaryconfirmed
French unrest lifted yields worldwide
The page says “AP says yields rose "worldwide"; French yields "climbed much more than yields for German government bonds"; 10-year Treasury to 5.14% from 5.09%”
-
05
summaryconfirmed
Brent settled at $109.55
The page says “Brent crude settled at $109.55 a barrel”
-
06
summaryconfirmed
Housing starts and the Fed's blackout are today's calendar
The page says “New Residential Construction (September 2026) scheduled October 20, 2026, 8:30 a.m.; blackout rule per https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomc-blackout-period-calendar.pdf”
-
07
The storyconfirmed
2-year 4.77%, up 3 bp from Friday
The page says “10/19: 4.77; 10/16: 4.74”
-
08
The storyconfirmed
10-year 5.15%, up 6 bp from Friday
The page says “10/19: 5.15; 10/16: 5.09”
-
09
The storyconfirmed
30-year 5.48%, up 5 bp from Friday
The page says “10/19: 5.48; 10/16: 5.43”
-
10
The storyconfirmed
2s10s widened to 38 bp from 35
The page says “5.15-4.77=0.38 (10/19); 5.09-4.74=0.35 (10/16)”
-
11
The storyconfirmed
AP had the 10-year at 5.14% late in the day
The page says “The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% (published 4:51 PM ET, Oct. 19)”
-
12
The storyconfirmed
10-year topped 5.30% earlier this month, highest since 2002
The page says “It topped 5.30% earlier this month and touched its highest level since 2002”
-
13
The storyconfirmed
Treasuries fell along with most government bonds
The page says “yields rose "worldwide" (France, Germany, U.S. cited)”
-
14
The storyconfirmed
Protests over cost of living and plans to cut public spending turned violent across France over the weekend
The page says “protests over the cost of living, linked to government plans to cut public spending, turned violent (AP adds school conditions)”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
15
The storyconfirmed
Sharecast counted at least 2,400 arrests
The page says “At least 2,400 people have been arrested”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
16
The storyconfirmed
Shops smashed and public buildings burned
The page says “shops smashed and public buildings burned”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
17
The storyconfirmed
Protests spreading to Spain, Italy and Portugal
The page says “broke out in Spain, Italy and Portugal”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
18
The storyconfirmed
By 7:32 a.m. GMT French 10-year up 5 bp at 4.84%
The page says “report 07:49, moves quoted at 07:32 GMT; French 10-year rose five basis points to 4.84%”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
19
The storyconfirmed
Spread over Bunds out to about 143 bp
The page says “spread over German Bunds around 143 basis points”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
20
The storyconfirmed
CAC 40 down 1.17%
The page says “CAC 40 down 1.17%”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
21
The storyconfirmed
AP: European indexes down more than 1%
The page says “indexes slid more than 1%”
-
22
The storyconfirmed
AP: French yields rose by more than German ones
The page says “climbed much more than yields for German government bonds”
-
23
The storyconfirmed
Worries about a strained budget and the chance the government answers with more spending
The page says “could ultimately force the French government to increase its spending”
-
24
The storyconfirmed
S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 7,690.73
The page says “the S&P 500 rose 31.29 points to 7,690.73”
-
25
The storyconfirmed
after its worst week since June
The page says “coming off its worst week since June”
-
26
The storyconfirmed
Nasdaq added 1.1%
The page says “Nasdaq gained 1.1% (to 26,430.89)”
-
27
The storyconfirmed
Dow slipped 0.1%
The page says “the Dow slipped 0.1% (down 36.38 to 51,966.03)”
-
28
The storyconfirmed
Most stocks outside AI and technology fell
The page says “Most non-tech stocks fell”
-
29
The storyconfirmed
Last week's AI selloff was about the rising cost of borrowing; much of the build-out financed with debt
The page says “tumbling on worries about how expensive it has become to borrow money ... has come from borrowed money”
-
30
The storyconfirmed
CoreWeave rents out chips
The page says “a company that's borrowed to buy AI chips that it rents out to customers over the cloud”
-
31
The storyconfirmed
CoreWeave lost 25.2% last week
The page says “CoreWeave fell 25.2% the prior week”
-
32
The storyconfirmed
CoreWeave closed Monday down 0.4% after swinging from a gain of more than 7% to a loss of 3.5%
The page says “it flipped to a loss of 3.5% before finishing with a dip of 0.4%”
-
33
The storyconfirmed
Kospi rose 1.8% after a 14.5% drop last week
The page says “jump 1.8% to recover some of its 14.5% drop from last week”
-
34
The storyconfirmed
20-year closed at 5.53%, above the 30-year's 5.48%
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
35
The storyconfirmed
On Friday 20-year 5.47% vs 30-year 5.43%
The page says “10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
36
The storyconfirmed
5-year 4.94% from 4.89%
The page says “10/19: 4.94; 10/16: 4.89”
-
37
The storyconfirmed
August refunding statement set October's 20-year auction at $13 billion
The page says “table of anticipated auction sizes for the August to October 2026 quarter: 20-year October $13 billion”
-
38
The storyconfirmed
$13 billion is the smallest coupon size on its schedule
The page says “20-year at $13B is the only coupon at that level; others range $22B (30-year) to $70B (5-year)”
-
39
The storyconfirmed
Auction at 1:00 p.m. ET Wednesday per Investrade
The page says “Wednesday, October 21: 1:00 PM ET US Treasury to sell $13B in 20-year notes”
-
40
The storyconfirmed
Brent settled at $109.55, down 0.3%
The page says “Brent crude settled at $109.55 a barrel; fell 0.3%”
-
41
The storyconfirmed
Brent traded between $107 and $110 Monday
The page says “after swinging between $107 and $110”
-
42
The storyconfirmed
AP: Brent moving between $97 and $110 this month
The page says “It has been yo-yoing between $97 and $110 this month”
-
43
The storywrong
...with the timing of an end to the war with Iran unsettled
The page says “on uncertainty about when the war with Iran will allow the energy industry to return to normal”
-
44
The storyconfirmed
Early Monday Brent down 2.1% at $107.55
The page says “Brent crude fell 2.1% ... $107.55 per barrel (Oct. 19, 10:09 AM ET)”
-
45
The storyconfirmed
WTI down 1.9% at $97.19 early Monday
The page says “dropped 1.9% to $97.19 per barrel”
-
46
The storyconfirmed
Executive order signed Friday, Oct. 16
The page says “President Trump on October 16, 2026, issued an executive order”
-
47
The storyconfirmed
Order implements the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026
The page says “Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026”
-
48
The storyconfirmed
Waives the 500% tariff on goods from Russia
The page says “a 500% tariff increase on goods from Russia ... waives their application for now”
-
49
The storyconfirmed
Waives the 100% tariffs on the largest buyers of Russian oil and gas
The page says “a 100% ad valorem increase in duties on goods from the five largest importers of Russian-origin crude oil and natural gas ... waived for now”
-
50
The storyconfirmed
Waivers hold until the President or Secretary of State decides otherwise, no expiry
The page says “We note that the waivers do not have a specified expiration date; until the president or the secretary of state decides further action is necessary”
-
51
The storyconfirmed
AP early report: President said earlier in October he reached a diesel deal with Russia to bring down fuel prices
The page says “said earlier this month he had reached a diesel deal with Russia”
-
52
The storyconfirmed
Quarter-point increase on Sept. 16 to 3-3/4 to 4 percent
The page says “decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point, to 3-3/4 to 4 percent”
- 53 confirmed
-
54
The storyconfirmed
Statement called inflation elevated
The page says “Inflation remains elevated”
- 55 confirmed
-
56
The storyconfirmed
Blackout begins at midnight the second Saturday before a meeting
The page says “will begin at 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time the second Saturday before a meeting”
-
57
The storyconfirmed
Blackout started Oct. 17 and runs through Oct. 29
The page says “Derived from the rule + calendar: second Saturday before Tue Oct 27 is Oct 17; ends 11:59 p.m. the day after a meeting = Oct 29. PDF text does not mark the dates itself”
-
58
The storyconfirmed
Fed funds 3.88% on Friday
The page says “effectiveDate 2026-10-16, percentRate 3.88”
-
59
The storyconfirmed
Friday's was the last print published before the issue closed; Monday's arrives about 9 a.m. ET
The page says “published at approximately 9:00 a.m. for the prior business day”
-
60
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 2-yr 4.77
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
61
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 5-yr 4.94
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
62
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 10-yr 5.15
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
63
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 20-yr 5.53
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
64
The storyconfirmed
Monday Oct. 19 30-yr 5.48
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
65
The storyconfirmed
Friday Oct. 16 2-yr 4.74
The page says “10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
66
The storyconfirmed
Friday Oct. 16 5-yr 4.89
The page says “10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
67
The storyconfirmed
Friday Oct. 16 10-yr 5.09
The page says “10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
68
The storyconfirmed
Friday Oct. 16 20-yr 5.47
The page says “10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
69
The storyconfirmed
Friday Oct. 16 30-yr 5.43
The page says “10/16/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.74, 5 Yr 4.89, 10 Yr 5.09, 20 Yr 5.47, 30 Yr 5.43”
-
70
The storyconfirmed
Every maturity rose; 10- and 20-year rose most, 6 bp each; 20-year stayed above 30-year
The page says “changes +3,+5,+6,+6,+5; 20>30 both days”
-
71
The story, step 1confirmed
Weekend: protests turn violent across France
The page says “protests turn violent”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
72
The story, step 2confirmed
7:32 a.m. GMT: French 10-yr 4.84%, spread 143 bp
The page says “07:32 GMT; 4.84%; around 143 basis points”
Sharecast via Hargreaves Lansdown, at the passage · whole page
-
73
The story, step 3confirmed
European indexes fall more than 1%
The page says “indexes slid more than 1%”
-
74
The story, step 4confirmed
3:30 p.m. ET: Treasury 10-yr 5.15%, up 6 bp
The page says “10/19 5.15 vs 10/16 5.09”
-
75
The storyconfirmed
Budget worry priced first in Paris, then in government bond markets worldwide
The page says “French bond yields rose on budget concerns; yields rose "worldwide"”
-
76
The storyconfirmed
20-year 5.53% above 30-year 5.48%, two days before a $13 billion auction
The page says “Wed Oct 21 1:00 PM ET $13B 20-year; Treasury 10/19 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
77
The storyconfirmed
Curve peaks at 20-year, dips at 30-year
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
78
art alt / art svgconfirmed
+6 BP
The page says “10-year 5.15 vs 5.09”
-
79
The storyconfirmed
Fed hiked last month
The page says “raise the target range ... September 16, 2026”
- 80 confirmed
-
81
The storyconfirmed
Housing starts consensus 1,305,000
The page says “Oct 20 8:30 Housing Starts Sep Thsd 1305.0 1275.0”
-
82
The storyconfirmed
Builders' 14-year-low confidence
The page says “lowest since June 2012”
-
83
The tape before the open, item 1confirmed
2-year 4.77%, +3 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 19
The page says “10/19 4.77; 10/16 4.74”
-
84
The tape before the open, item 2confirmed
10-year 5.15%, +6 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 19
The page says “10/19 5.15; 10/16 5.09”
-
85
The tape before the open, item 3confirmed
30-year 5.48%, +5 bp, 3:30 p.m. ET Oct. 19
The page says “10/19 5.48; 10/16 5.43”
-
86
The tape before the open, item 4confirmed
2s10s 38 bp, +3 bp
The page says “38 vs 35”
-
87
The tape before the open, item 5confirmed
Fed funds effective 3.88%, unchanged, Fri Oct. 16
The page says “2026-10-16 3.88; 2026-10-15 3.88”
-
88
The tape before the open, item 6confirmed
EUR/USD ECB reference 1.1225, -0.0028, Oct. 19
The page says “19 October 1.1225; 16 October 1.1253”
-
89
The tape before the open, item 7confirmed
Brent $109.55, -0.3%, Monday settlement
The page says “Brent crude settled at $109.55; fell 0.3%”
-
90
The tape before the open, item 8confirmed
Gold December futures $4,190.50 at 7:06 a.m. ET Oct. 19
The page says “moving slightly higher this morning to $4,190.50 per troy ounce as of 7:06 a.m. ET (December contract)”
-
91
The tape before the open, item 9confirmed
Nikkei 225 64,075.42, -1.3%, Tuesday close 3:30 p.m. JST
The page says “Oct 20 close 64,075.42; Oct 19 close 64,916.70 (-1.30%)”
-
92
The tape before the openconfirmed
WTI $97.19 early Monday (AP)
The page says “dropped 1.9% to $97.19 per barrel”
-
93
The morning in four, item 1confirmed
Treasury table: 20-year 5.53%, 30-year 5.48%
The page says “10/19/2026 row: 2 Yr 4.77, 5 Yr 4.94, 10 Yr 5.15, 20 Yr 5.53, 30 Yr 5.48”
-
94
The morning in four, item 1confirmed
$13 billion 20-year auction Wednesday under August refunding plan
The page says “20-year October $13 billion; Investrade: Wed Oct 21 1:00 PM ET”
-
95
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
AP traced AI selloff to cost of borrowing; build-out debt-financed
The page says “worries about how expensive it has become to borrow money”
-
96
The morning in four, item 2confirmed
CoreWeave lost 25.2% last week and slipped 0.4% Monday
The page says “finishing with a dip of 0.4%”
-
97
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
NAHB/Wells Fargo index fell 3 points to 29 in October
The page says “fell three points to 29”
-
98
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
Lowest since June 2012
The page says “lowest since June 2012”
-
99
The morning in four, item 3confirmed
43% of builders cut prices, up from 38% in September
The page says “43% ... up from 38% in September”
-
100
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
China Q3 GDP +4.5% y/y
The page says “4.5% year on year at constant prices”
National Bureau of Statistics of China, at the passage · whole page
-
101
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
China September exports +29.6%
The page says “up 29.6% year on year, to 3,034.4 billion yuan”
National Bureau of Statistics of China, at the passage · whole page
-
102
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
Canada CPI +3.1% in September
The page says “rising 3.1% year over year in September”
-
103
The morning in four, item 4confirmed
Canada gasoline +27.8%
The page says “prices for gasoline rose at a faster pace in September (+27.8%)”
-
104
What to watch, item 1confirmed
Housing starts and permits 8:30 a.m. ET Tuesday, Census New Residential Construction
The page says “October 20, 2026, at 8:30 a.m”
-
105
What to watch, item 1confirmed
Starts consensus 1,305,000 vs 1,275,000 in August
The page says “Housing Starts Sep Thsd 1305.0 1275.0”
-
106
What to watch, item 1confirmed
Permits consensus 1,385,000 vs 1,403,000
The page says “Building Permits Sep Thsd 1385.0 1403.0”
-
107
What to watch, item 2confirmed
New York Fed publishes Monday's rate at about 9 a.m. ET
The page says “approximately 9:00 a.m”
-
108
What to watch, item 2confirmed
Friday's 3.88% inside the 3.75% to 4.00% target range
The page says “percentRate 3.88, targetRateFrom 3.75, targetRateTo 4.00”
-
109
What to watch, item 3confirmed
Blackout started Sat Oct. 17, runs through Oct. 29, day after Oct. 27–28 meeting
The page says “begin 12:00 a.m. ET the second Saturday before a meeting; end 11:59 p.m. ET the day after a meeting (dates derived with https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm)”
-
110
What to watch, item 4confirmed
Ally, KeyCorp, Synchrony before the open; Capital One after the close
The page says “Tuesday, October 20: ALLY, KEY, SYF before the open; COF after the close”
The checker's notes
- No fact found that could only be known after 4:30 AM ET on 2026-10-20: Treasury 10/19 row, AP close (4:51 PM ET Oct. 19), ECB Oct. 19 fixing, Nikkei Oct. 20 close (2:30 a.m. ET) all precede the cut-off; the issue correctly uses Friday's EFFR because Monday's was published ~9 a.m. Oct. 20.
- No political opinion found. Executive order and Graham Act are reported as events with sources; Fortune's link of the diesel deal to the midterms was not carried into the issue.
- No conduct issues: callout and the 20-year paragraph are labelled as the issue's reading and are impersonal conditional outlook; no reader instruction, positions, promises or regulatory claims.
- Minor wording: TD's table lists starts/permits in thousands without stating 'annual rate' (SAAR is the Census convention; not shown on the cited page). Investrade calls the 20-year issue 'notes'; the issue says 'auction', fine. The refunding table gives 'anticipated' sizes; 'set' is a slight overstatement.
- Blackout dates Oct. 17-29 are derived from the PDF's rule plus the FOMC calendar; the PDF text extracted did not mark them.